Thursday, December 12, 2013

Alpine Glacier, Unchanged for Thousands of Years, Now Melting: New Ice Cores Suggest Alps Have Been Strongly Warming Since 1980s

Dec. 11, 2013 — Less than 20 miles from the site where melting ice exposed the 5,000-year-old body of Ötzi the Iceman, scientists have discovered new and compelling evidence that the Italian Alps are warming at an unprecedented rate.


This evidence comes from a dried out leaf from a larch tree that grew several thousand years ago. A six-nation team of glaciologists led by The Ohio State University drilled a set of ice cores from Mt. Ortles in Northern Italy. The Alto dell’Ortles glacier did not show signs of melting for thousands of year. But not it is shifting from a below freezing temperature to one where the upper layers are at the melting point. The current atmosphere is warming outside of the normal range for millennia. The scientists say that this is consistent with the melting of glaciers at high elevations.

When they first started drilling in 2011, the first 100 feet of the glacier was like compacted snow that had partly melted. Below that, it was all solid frozen ice. This means that snow has been accumulating for years and has not melted until in the last 30 years, “which is when each year's new deposit of snow began melting.” They know that the ice has remained unchanged because of the larch tree that was mentioned earlier. It was wedged into the ice 240 feet beneath the surface and surrounded by solid ice.
"The leaf supports the idea that prehistoric ice is still present at the highest elevations of the region." The leaf is said to be around 2,600 years old.

The interest of the researchers is why the temperatures in the Alps are increasing at twice the rate of the whole earth. Alto dell’Ortles is located in the heart of Europe. It is one of the most populated areas of the world. They want to see if environmental changes can change climatic changes and Ortles gives them the opportunity to find that out.


Source:




Thursday, December 5, 2013

Sea-Level Rise to Drive Coastal Flooding, Regardless of Change in Cyclone Activity

"Dec. 4, 2013 — Despite the fact that recent studies have focused on climate change impacts on the intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones themselves, a research team led by Jon Woodruff of the University of Massachusetts Amherst found on review of the relevant science that sea level rise and shoreline retreat are the two more certain factors expected to drive an increase in future flood risk from such storms."


Geoscientist Jon Woodruff along with his coauthors say that society must learn to live with a shoreline that is evolving and become more susceptible to flooding from hurricanes. The authors say that sea level rise and the potential it has to change coastlines is understudied therefore, this can result in catastrophic changes in flood risk associated with hurricanes. Woodruff says that there is a general agreement that there will be fewer hurricanes but that they will be more violent. The issue becomes that “there is less consensus on the magnitude of these changes, and it remains unclear how closely individual regions of tropical cyclone activity will follow global trends.”

Mr. Woodruff notes that the frequency and intensity of flooding will increase because the sea level is increasing as well. He says that the moderate rise of sea level is now over and that shorelines “are now beginning to adjust to a new boundary condition that in most cases serves to accelerate rates of shoreline retreat”. Mr. Woodruff and his colleagues say that a sea level rise of 1 meter in the NYC area would result in 100-year flood events that occur every 3 to 20 years. Most coastlines aren’t engineered to handle that frequency of flooding. They say that population centers are mostly on sedimentary coasts that will make the impact of future floods even greater.

Sources: